Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs. Andy Lee
By: Jon Campbell
Tonight in El Paso Texas the WBC Middleweight title will be on the line when Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (45-0-1) defends his belt against Irish up and comer Andy Lee (28-1). He has announced that this will most likely be his last fight at Middleweight as difficulties in making weight are making it a good idea. Chavez despite his achievements at a young age receives plenty of criticism from the media as he has been accused of being a protected fighter who has ducked potentially dangerous opponents, most notably Sergio ‘Maravilla’ Martinez (49-2-2). This may be for many reasons, one explanation may be that he has big shoes to fill due to who his father is and fans are going to constantly compare him. What people must respect is his record and the ability he has demonstrated up to now. Trained by newly indicted hall of fame trainer Freddie Roach, chances are we have a lot more to come from this talented prospect.
Andy Lee is stepping up in class in order to challenge for this title. the former Irish Super-Middleweight title holder has increasingly make himself noticeable on the boxing radar, especially when he won the NABF and NABA Middleweight titles in a bout against Alex Bunema (31-9-2). He is on a good winning streak having not lost since 2008 against Brian Vera (20-6). It is safe to say that Lee comes to fight and is certainly no slouch. However, in my opinion he is not considerably better than the better European level fighters, he has surpassed this level somewhat but I am not confidant he will beat Chavez Jr.
I have seen a number of fellow writers predict a Lee KO and I do not see a large chance of this happening, as despite his good KO percentage Chavez Jr’s chin has been tested on a number of occasions and is yet to fail on him. Not only this but what would be required to knock out Chavez would be too take him our early as he is generally a slow starter just like his father, using his sustained body attacks and gaining interest on them later in the fight when his opponent is wore down. The longer the fight goes the less likely Lee will win by KO.
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To conclude, I predict Chavez Jr. will win a close decision, possibly going down in the early rounds until he finds his rhythm and may even stop Lee later on in the bout. Should he win chances is he will be able to get a title shot at Super-Middleweight after a couple of fights.
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