
Under Men’s Rules 10×3 Rounds, Turhan vs. Baumgardner Heads MVP Texas Card
By Robert Brizel, Head Real Combat Media Boxing Correspondent
Prediction Record: (184-44-10), (9-5-1) in Main Events
Arlington, Texas (November 6th, 2026)– In the main event of a ten bouts ESPN, ESPN Deportes and Sky Sports UK televised card promoted by Jake Paul’s MVP Promotions on Sunday November 8, 2026, at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas, International Boxing Federation Female World Lightweight champion Elif Nur Turhan, 14-0 with eight knockouts, Istanbul, Turkey, will defend her title again Alycia Baumgardner, 18-1 with seven knockouts, Detroit, Michigan, the unified Female World Super Featherweight champion who is moving up in weight.
The female world title bout will be fought at 10 three minutes rounds. Baumgardner is favored to win by 10 rounds decision. Baumgardner is a 5:1 favorite at -500 to -600, with odds of a later round stoppage at 17:2. Turhan is an underdog to win at +330 to +400 at 10:3. This will be Baumgardner’s tenth world title bout. This will be Turhan’s second IBF female world title defense.
Baumgardner has superior experience against top flight female opposition. Turhan has a 57 percent knockout ratio. Turhan, who frequently lunges with wild, wide punches, goes for the knockout, but can be countered and stopped due to leaving herself exposed with a limited defense. Moving forward as a one-dimensional fighter, Turhan faces Alycia Baumgardner’s ring generalship as a superior technical fighter with superior head and foot movement, a consistent jab, and consistent timing with her punches out of range. However, this is a three minutes world title bout with two females, unknown territory where anything could happen theoretically. Baumgardner’s last two world title bouts went the 10 and 12 rounds distance at three minutes per round, so she is more conditioned to win the bout over 30 minutes at three minutes per round, which is unknown territory for Turhan.
MVP Promotions ESPN Sky Sports Robert Brizel Undercard Predictions, Two Minutes Rounds for Females, Three Minutes Rounds for Males
Nataly Delgado of Panama, age 32, is favored to win the IBF World Super flyweight female championship over the southpaw world champion Irma Garcia of Mexico, age 45.
Ramla Ali of the United Kingdom is favored to win the vacant IBF and WBO World Female Super Bantamweight titles by 10 rounds decision over Mikiah Kreps of Niagara Falls, New York
Skye Nicholson of Australia is favored to retain the World Boxing Council Female World Super Bantamweight title by 10 rounds decision over Miro Yoshida of New York City by way of Kagoshima, Japan.
Shera Mae Patricio of Hawaii is favored to win by knockout over Brittany Simms of Ohio in a scheduled 10 rounds bantamweight bout.
Natalie Dove of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania is favored to win by eight rounds decision over Nayeli Rodriguez of El Paso, Texas, in a flyweight rematch of their Florida four rounds draw in 2024.
Alexander Castellano of Buffalo, New York, is favored to win by six rounds decision over Fernando Garcia of Dallas, Texas, by way of Monterrey, Mexico, in a featherweight bout, three minutes rounds.
Jocelyn Camarillo of California is favored to win by six rounds decision over Nazarena Serra of Buenos Aires, Argentina, in a minimumweight bout.
Javier Guerrero Cruz of Dallas, Texas, is favored to win by knockout over Aiden Anderson of Dallas, Texas, in a scheduled six rounds welterweight bout., three minutes rounds.
In the opening super lightweight bout, Albina Moldazhanova of Russian Federation is favored to win by stoppage over Kirstie Bavington of the United Kingdom, a former female European Welterweight champion. Moldazhanova is 5-0 with five knockouts, a 100 percent knockout ratio.
Terrence “Doc” Boone’s MVPW-07 Picks
By Terrence “Doc” Boone, RCM Boxing Correspondent
Prediction Record: (8-1), (1-0) in Featured Main Events
Robert Brizel has set the standard for boxing writing at Real Combat Media as Head Boxing Correspondent since 2013, and I am honored to join the Real Combat Media team and put my picks next to his.
Doc’s record comes from the Canelo vs. Mbilli card, where he went 8-1 picking winners and 1-0 in the featured main event. Robert’s record stands at (184-44-10), (9-5-1) in Main Events. The running tally continues after this card, and every pick below counts. Odds are as of Friday, vary by book and are shown where a line is available.
Main Event: Alycia Baumgardner def. Elif Nur Turhan by Unanimous Decision. Baumgardner’s jab, head movement and timing from the outside should control a fighter who lunges and leaves herself open, and she has the more recent experience going 10 and 12 rounds in world title fights. The one thing that gives me pause is size. Turhan is listed at 5’7″ with a 69-inch reach to Baumgardner’s 5’5″ and 67 inches, and Baumgardner is moving up to 135 pounds, so Turhan’s 57 percent knockout ratio keeps this from being a lock. Confidence: medium-high.
Odds: Baumgardner roughly -500 to -600. Turhan roughly +330 to +400.
Ramla Ali vs. Mikiah Kreps (vacant WBO and IBF super bantamweight titles): Kreps by Unanimous Decision. This is where Robert and I split. Kreps (11-0, 3 KOs) is unbeaten, 30 and the favorite in the betting markets, while Ali (11-2, 3 KOs) is getting the biggest opportunity of her career. I give the edge to the unbeaten fighter over 10 rounds. Confidence: medium.
Odds: Kreps roughly -333 to -380. Ali roughly +240 to +260.
Skye Nicolson vs. Miyo Yoshida (WBC super bantamweight title): Nicolson by Unanimous Decision. Nicolson (16-1, 3 KOs) is a southpaw Olympian who controls distance and is the naturally bigger woman. Yoshida (19-5, 1 KO) is a 38-year-old three-time world champion chasing a third division, but one knockout in 24 fights gives her little to change the script. Confidence: high.
Odds: Nicolson roughly -2000 to -2500. Yoshida roughly +730 to +1150.
Irma Garcia vs. Nataly Delgado (IBF and WBA super flyweight unification): Garcia by Unanimous Decision. This is the other split with Robert, who has Delgado. Garcia (26-5-1, 6 KOs) stopped Emma Dolan in the third round in April, and the books lean her way, while Delgado (21-7-2, 5 KOs) is the younger champion coming off her June win over Jasmine Artiga. I will side with the champion and the market, but this is a toss-up. Confidence: low.
Odds: Garcia roughly -136 to -152. Delgado roughly +104 to +114.
Shera Mae Patricio vs. Brittany Sims (vacant WBA regular bantamweight title): Patricio by Unanimous Decision. Patricio (10-0, 3 KOs) is 23 and holds the WBA Gold title. Sims (10-3, 5 KOs) is 36 and MVP’s top WBA contender. Robert has Patricio by knockout, but three stoppages in 10 fights points me to the scorecards. Confidence: medium.
Nat Dove def. Nayeli Rodriguez by Unanimous Decision. Dove (8-0-1, 2 KOs) is a 15-time U.S. national champion, and I expect her to win the rematch of their draw clearly over eight rounds against Rodriguez (7-2-1). Confidence: medium-low.
Alexander Castellano def. Fernando Garcia by Unanimous Decision. Garcia (14-5, 8 KOs) has the power, but Castellano (12-2-2, 2 KOs) has lost fewer times and should box his way to a six-round decision. Confidence: low.
Jocelyn Camarillo def. Nazarena Serra by Unanimous Decision. The Indio, California prospect has fought on MVP cards before and should have the edge in experience in this six-round minimumweight bout. Confidence: low.
Javier Guerrero def. Aiden Anderson by TKO. Guerrero (7-0, 5 KOs) is a 6’0″ 20-year-old against the 5’8″ Anderson (4-3, 3 KOs) in an all-Dallas welterweight fight, and I expect the bigger, unbeaten fighter to stop him. Confidence: medium.
Albina Moldazhanova def. Kirstie Bavington by TKO. Moldazhanova (5-0, 5 KOs) has stopped every opponent so far, and the betting market treats this as close to a formality. Confidence: high.
Odds: Moldazhanova roughly -8000. Bavington roughly +1550.
21+. This is analysis, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
MVPW-07 is four world title fights on the main card, a fifth on the prelims and a stacked women’s boxing Sunday you do not want to miss. The main card airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN Deportes, with the prelims starting around 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Join ESPN Select here to stream ESPN+ boxing in the ESPN app, including Sunday’s prelims, and check ESPN for the best way to stream the main card in your region. Be there when Baumgardner and Turhan settle the main event, and see whether Doc or Robert is right.
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