UFC Sacramento Preview: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Full Card, Film Study, Odds & Weigh-In Video

UFC Sacramento Preview: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Full Card, Film Study, Odds & Weigh-In Video

By Real Combat Media MMA Editorial Staff

Sacramento, California, (August 22nd, 2026)–The UFC returns to Sacramento for the first time in seven years tonight, and it’s the hometown fighter headlining. Anthony Hernandez looks to rebound from the first loss of his win-streak era against Gregory Rodrigues in a middleweight main event with real title implications, while a heavyweight tilt between Serghei Spivac and Vitor Petrino backs it up. All 26 fighters made weight Friday at the Golden 1 Center.

Full Fight Card (Records & Weigh-In Weights)

Main Card, 8 p.m. ET (Paramount+)
Middleweight (Main Event, 5 rounds): Anthony Hernandez (15-3, 1 NC) [186] vs. Gregory Rodrigues (19-6) [185]
Heavyweight (Co-Main): Serghei Spivac (18-6) [257] vs. Vitor Petrino (14-2) [246]
Light Heavyweight: Reinier de Ridder (21-4) [205] vs. Roman Dolidze (15-5) [206]
Lightweight: Mason Jones (18-2, 1 NC) [156] vs. MarQuel Mederos (11-1-1) [156]
Women’s Flyweight: Jeisla Chaves (8-0) [124.5] vs. Carli Judice (6-2) [125.5]
Heavyweight: Terrance Chatman (5-1) [266] vs. Anthony Wint (7-0) [231]

Preliminary Card, 5 p.m. ET (Paramount+)
Featherweight: Jamall Emmers (22-8) [143.5] vs. Lerryan Douglas (14-5) [145.5]
Heavyweight: Shamil Gaziev (14-3) [261] vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-1) [244]
Lightweight: Nasrat Haqparast (18-6) [155.5] vs. Chris Padilla (17-6-1) [156]
Featherweight: Marcio Barbosa (18-2) [145.5] vs. Ryan Kuse (9-2) [144.5]
Lightweight: Gauge Young (11-3) [155.5] vs. Stan Dorsainvil (5-0) [155.5]
Middleweight: Jackson McVey (7-2) [185] vs. Wes Schultz (9-3) [186]
Women’s Strawweight: Shanelle Dyer (7-1) [116] vs. Elise Reed (8-5) [115]

Main Event: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Hernandez, a Sacramento native fighting a short drive from home, is coming off the first loss of his Octagon career, a third-round TKO to Sean Strickland in a title eliminator that snapped an eight-fight win streak built almost entirely on wrestling and submissions (nine of his 15 wins). He’s since relocated to Las Vegas to train alongside Strickland himself, and by his own account he’s fighting with an edge he hasn’t shown before. He’ll need it: Rodrigues is red-hot, having won six of his last seven with three straight finishes, most recently a first-round knockout of Brunno Ferreira in March.

Rodrigues brings real one-punch power and a black belt jiu-jitsu game of his own, and he’s shown he can hurt people who make mistakes on the feet. But durability is a real question against a grinder like Hernandez, who has finished 12 of his 15 career wins and rarely lets a fight stay clean for long. This is a classic style clash: a technical counter-puncher with knockout power against a relentless, high-output wrestler who wants to make the fight ugly.

Keys to Victory: Hernandez needs to close distance behind volume and get this fight to the fence and the mat, where his output and submission threat take over. Rodrigues needs to keep this at range, time his counters, and avoid the extended grappling exchanges that have given bigger, more durable opponents trouble against Hernandez in the past.

Co-Main Event: Spivac vs. Petrino

Spivac has carved out a niche as the heavyweight division’s gatekeeper, a black belt grappler who has turned away plenty of strikers without the wrestling to deal with him, notching wins over Derrick Lewis, Marcin Tybura and Ante Delija along the way. He’s the most experienced fighter Petrino has faced since the Brazilian moved up from light heavyweight last year.

Petrino has looked every bit the part in that transition, winning three straight since the move and carrying real one-shot power up with him. He’s cut from stone and has a 79 percent takedown defense rate that will be tested immediately by a fighter whose entire game plan is getting the fight to the floor. If Petrino can keep this standing, his speed and power give him a real edge over a bigger but less dynamic striker.

Keys to Victory: Spivac needs to close distance, get underneath Petrino’s power, and put him on his back early before the heavier hands find a home. Petrino needs his jab and lateral movement working from the opening bell and his takedown defense at its best, because a prolonged fight on the mat is Spivac’s whole game plan.

de Ridder vs. Dolidze

De Ridder makes his light heavyweight debut after a rough stretch at 185 pounds, and the move up looks like a smart one: he’s bigger and more physical than almost anyone he’ll face in the new division, and his grappling pedigree, unbeaten across multiple organizations before the UFC, remains a real threat to anyone who lets the fight hit the floor.

Dolidze is 38 and dropped two straight before this booking, putting him firmly in must-win territory, but he’s got knockout wins over Kevin Holland, Jack Hermansson and Kyle Daukaus and enough grappling of his own to make de Ridder work for whatever he gets. This is a physical, high-stakes gamble for both men in new or must-win circumstances.

Keys to Victory: De Ridder needs to use his size advantage to control the clinch and find his way to top position, where his ground game has historically taken over. Dolidze needs to keep his hands moving early and often, since letting this fight slow down and become a grappling contest favors the bigger man.

Jones vs. Mederos

Jones is a well-rounded, black belt-holding Welshman with power, toughness and grappling in equal measure, and he’s expected to press forward and give Mederos less room to work than anyone the Contender Series graduate has faced in the Octagon so far.

Mederos thrives when he can fight clean at range and showcase his boxing, and he’s dangerous when he has space to work behind a stiff jab. The question is whether he’ll get that space against a fighter whose whole plan is to walk him down and take it away.

Keys to Victory: Jones needs to keep the pressure on and force ugly, phone-booth exchanges where his toughness and grappling take over. Mederos needs to circle, keep this at the end of his punches, and avoid getting backed onto the fence for long stretches.

Chaves vs. Judice

Chaves is still undefeated at 8-0 and got her hand raised in a competitive UFC debut against Yuneisy Duben, but her record has come largely against lesser competition and she can be found with clean shots. Judice, 27, already carries two losses, both split decisions in tough spots, and looks to use her boxing and feints to hand Chaves the first defeat of her career.

Keys to Victory: Chaves needs to tighten her defense and lean on volume and positioning rather than a single fight-ending moment. Judice needs to stay sharp at range and avoid letting an undefeated opponent turn this into the kind of dogfight where records get made.

Wint vs. Chatman

Wint, a former NFL linebacker turned heavyweight prospect, has finished his last three opponents in a combined 102 seconds and enters as the single biggest favorite on the entire card. Chatman, a Fury FC import making his promotional debut on short notice, has one career loss and four knockouts of his own, but this is a significant jump in competition against a fighter whose athleticism heavyweights rarely see.

Keys to Victory: Wint needs to do what he’s done in every UFC-adjacent appearance so far, close the distance immediately and end it before it starts. Chatman needs to survive the opening storm and find a way to slow Wint down before the size and speed gap becomes the whole story.

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, current as of fight week and subject to change:

Anthony Hernandez (-165 to -200) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+130 to +165)
Vitor Petrino (-155 to -174) vs. Serghei Spivac (+130 to +136)
Reinier de Ridder (-395 to -410) vs. Roman Dolidze (+290 to +310)
Mason Jones (-278 to -295) vs. MarQuel Mederos (+218 to +225)
Carli Judice (-575 to -620) vs. Jeisla Chaves (+400 to +425)
Anthony Wint (-1000) vs. Terrance Chatman (+625 to +650)

Odds are for informational purposes only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Watch

“The Goal Is To Put Him Out Cold” – UFC Sacramento Media Day

Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Official Weigh-Ins | UFC Sacramento

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